My Free gift to you (and to the world)

Technology can solve most of the world’s biggest challenges. In the last two decades we have seen such rapid advancement in so many areas of technology. Information and communication have been the biggest areas of this increase.

It is now possible to access almost the entire body of human knowledge, from a device in the palm of my hand, from anywhere.

Compared to our ancestors just 200 years ago, this ability puts us in the same realm of knowledge as the gods themselves. Yet even with all this, our culture and society is progressing so slowly in some areas that I fear for our very survival.

That’s not to say I’m an alarmist, or that I think the end of the world is nigh. Quite the opposite in fact. I believe that things are on the road to being better than we could ever imagine. I just think we are likely to go through a period where stuff gets way worse before it gets better. Bad planning and stupid government policies are largely to blame for this.

If you have known me for any length of time or followed my writing, you probably already know my views on government incompetence and cronyism. So I won’t bore you with that discussion.

What I will say though, is that there are enterprising people working feverishly to solve some of our most critical problems. Food and water being at the top of the list.

In the next 35 years we are projected to add another 2.5 billion people to the planet. As things sit right now, we will have to increase global agricultural production by over 70% to meet this growth. Its possible, but it is probably going to involve some growing pains first. And the biggest reason is because of a lack of water.

Even though the earth’s surface is 70% water, a remarkably small amount of it is freshwater, and even less is available for human use. That tiny fraction of all the water on earth is what we all have to share to drink, bathe, wash our cars, water our lawns, and the biggest one is to water our crops.

Farms take a lot of water. In California, 85% of all the water use in the state is used by agriculture. While the farmers have made a lot of progress in conserving water, there is still a huge amount wasted by inefficiencies. Things like flood irrigation, leaky canals and reservoirs, badly managed sprinkler systems and outdated technology all add up, and the result is massive. We are running out of water and we farmers are most of the reasons why.

But we still have to grow food to eat.

That’s a huge gap in ideology. We have to conserve the water we have so that we can grow more food, but we also have to keep using the water to grow the food we are already eating.

Technology to the rescue.

Recent advances in low water use systems like drip irrigation, computerized irrigation systems, and especially closed loop systems like hydroponics and aquaponics can make a huge difference.

I especially like Aquaponics.

I like it enough that I have spent the last 2 ½ years learning everything I can about it, and then implementing it.

My wife Desi and I are building a 6000 square foot set of aquaponic greenhouses on our farm in Enoch Utah. In addition to this I have invented several new processes and systems for aquaponics and small farm applications. We are working on automation systems, construction advances, and business systems. This set of projects has consumed us for the better part of the last two years.

And it has finally come time to share it.

We have set a huge goal to help a million people get their food from these amazing aquaponic systems. Our best guess estimates tell us that a million people eating aquaponic food can conserve about 17 billion gallons of water per year. For reference, that’s about half the water capacity of Strawberry Reservoir. Every Year.

To make this happen I am releasing a complete book on everything we have learned on this journey. This is a huge technical manual interspersed with a lot of personal stories and cool ideas.

Before that, we want to give our close friends a sneak peek of what is to come.

So I wrote an introductory version of this book, and it is yours for the asking.

All you have to do is download it and read it.

If you like what you see, please let us know, and then look forward to some of the other cool stuff that is coming in the next few weeks and months.

The world is changing, Let’s help change it into something great to pass on to our kids and grandkids.

Commercial aquaponics is not a viable business??

“Aquaponics is still developing, and so it’s not viable as a business yet.”

One of my bigger clients dropped this on me last weekend when we met. I told him simply that he was partly right, but not in the way he thought.

Make no mistake, there are successful aquaponic farms running in several parts of the world. The picture above is one such farm. People have been successful at it and it does work. However for every success, there are dozens of failures.

Why is this? Why do most operations utterly fail, and others actually work?

Two reasons:
The aquaponic technology does not work as designed
The business model does not work as planned.

I have seen a few farms that spend so much time and resources trying to get their technology to work, that they run out of capital and fold. This is actually quite common in this phase of technological development. The internet went through this phase, as have a myriad of other industries. Even the railroads 200 years ago had this type of phase with many start-ups and only a few successes.

The reason that the successful ones work however is not so much to do with the technology.

As an example of this I have seen farms with commercially designed and set up systems from Nelson & Pade Aquaponics both succeed and fail. If two farms with the same technology can both fail, and succeed, then the challenge is in the business model.

I suspect that 95% of failures in the aquaponic sector are due to business reasons. The other 5% of failures are possibly technological.

Let’s look at a case study – AquaVita Farms.

AquaVita made a splash the last couple of months when it failed. It wasn’t the first, and it wont be the last. In looking at their operation, they had significant capital for operations, and were running for almost two years. According to a blog post by the founder, in that two years they figured out how to make the technology work, and they were just now ready to start working on building their market and selling their product.

This is not a technological failure, this is a business failure.

Any business that waits two years to start making sales deserves to die. It is not a business, it is a hobby or a research project, or something else. It’s not a business though. The primary characteristic of a business is that it has sales, and thus revenues. Any business without revenues is just a corpse waiting to fall. It may still have some cash in the bank, but without income it will fail.

An unquestioned success – Earthan Group

In September of 2013, Paul Van der Werf went to the United Arab Emirates to consult on a commercial aquaponics project there. Two weeks later he broke ground, and by January 2014 the farm was working. He proved without a question that the technology that he was using worked, and that it could be profitable as a business.

A year later, he has turned the farm over to a professional manager and headed home to Australia to move on to other projects.

One of the most important things that he did with this project is that he started making sales as soon as he had a product to sell. The margins were thin, but doable. As a result it became profitable even before the technology was fully running and before the fish system was fully operational.

The picture at the head of this article is of the view from Paul’s office at the farm looking out into the greenhouses. I highly recommend his work, and his technology.

I would rather see a aquaponic farm with a tiny greenhouse that makes $300 per month and has a net profit of $3 per month, than a million square foot operation with a negative cash flow. At least I know that the little farm will still be around long enough to make some mistakes and expand. I also know that they actually have some customers.

The first, primary, and really only job of a start-up entrepreneur is to make their company sales. Sales are all that matters to a start-up business. Technology is great, but unless your business model involves you selling your technology, it shouldn’t be in your list of worries. Get it working enough to create a product, and then take that product to market no matter how imperfect it is.

If your system is still not working properly, work nights and weekends on your technology while you are our making sales and generating market share during the day. You can get a long way on half baked technology in an aquaponic farm, but without sales, you can’t get anywhere. If you have sales though, you have money to invest in better technology, consultants, and even automation. Without it though, you will be dead in the water in a short time.

As far as the technology in the aquaponic industry goes, here is the specific breakdown

Hydroponic technology has been around commercially for about 30 years and is well proven. Thousands of successful hydroponic farms dot the globe in every imaginable configuration and climate. There are even hydroponic farms at the south pole and on nuclear submarines.

Closed loop aquaculture has been around for almost 50 years and is well proven. These farms generate millions of tons of fish every year and are fast becoming one of the primary sources of farmed fish globally.

Controlled environment agriculture and greenhouses have been around for centuries and are one of the most common places for us to get fresh vegetables now. The model works and has worked for a very long time.

Aquaponic farms are just a combination of these well proven technologies. There is not any real mystery here, it is just an outgrowth of stuff that already works. To claim that the technology is not working, may just mean that the user does not understand the technology, or that they are basing their ideas on faulty information.

All that said, there is still a lot of development work going on in the industry. I have personally developed and prototyped a half-dozen new systems and technologies in the last year alone. Most of these are in automation and new sensor and control technology. Even though the technology is proven, there is still room for improvement, and there is a lot of room for improvement in automation and control systems. This is a lot because of the advances in computer technology, and the revolution of the internet of things. This trend is hitting almost every sector of the economy now, and it doesn’t make the existing technology any less workable.

Aquaponics works. It works on a small-scale, and it works on a massive scale. The technology is well proven. The business model however is subject to the knowledge and execution of the individual entrepreneur.

If you have, or want to have an aquaponic farm, the best thing that you can do is to go build your market and make sales. Even if you don’t have a greenhouse up, or crops in the ground you can still make sales. You can sell a future crop before it’s even planted. Take a small refundable deposit, agree to the terms, and get cracking. I guarantee that you will work harder to get your operation running if you have a deadline for delivery.

Even if you find out later that you are taking a small loss on that contract, do the deal anyway.

Just make that first sale, because only then are you really in business. Once you have sales, you can work out the rest, because you will have income to support the rest of the operation.

Hang in there, you can do this!

A Non-Profit Organization is the Wrong Way to Approach Aquaponics (or Farming)

I have been approached by a few different people that want to work with aquaponics and believe that they can make a go at building a large commercial type system. When faced with the reality of the costs and ongoing needs of such a system they often turn to one of the models that they believe may work, Non-Profit organizations.

Why would a person want to run a farm as a non-profit?

There are basically two reasons:
1. They have a giving heart, and they want to do something good and altruistic for their community.
2. They have no idea how to actually run a business, and they have heard that non-profit organizations can get free money.

All of the people that I have seen suggest a non-profit fall into the latter category.

This is unfortunate because the same business principles apply no matter whether you are working for profit or not. You still have to know how to provide value to your customers. You have to run a budget and be fiscally responsible. You have to have a clear mission and goals. You still have to build a team of helpers and a tribe of customers. The process is the same, and if anything, the process is harder as a non-profit because you have to have a board of directors to answer to, and it is easier for the board to get away from the original vision of the founders.

I have said it before, and I am sure that I will continue to say it – running a business requires you to understand the fundamental principles that the business runs on. If you don’t then you are kidding yourself, your team, and your investors.

Before starting a business, the founders must have a clear vision for the company, and they must understand the processes and numbers that make the company work. Many times people look at the numbers they see for a company and they don’t like them, but they are so enamored of the idea of having that business, that they go ahead and do it anyway. This is one of the surest recipes for failure. If you cant get the numbers to work on paper, they won’t ever work.

Others take it a step further and just don’t plan anything and skip the process of running numbers on the business at all. These people have better odds at the roulette tables in Las Vegas.

So is it possible to get free money with a non-profit?

No, and it never has been. People that tell you that grant money is free are either scammers, deluded, or simply don’t understand how grants work.

There is no such thing as a free lunch.

Someone has to pay for it, and they must have a good reason to do so. If they have their needs fulfilled, they may do it again, but if not they will turn on you.

Grants are monies given out by organizations so that they can achieve goals that they have set. That money is how they get their goals met. If you can help them meet their goals, then they will often continue to support your efforts. If you are not supporting their goals however, you aren’t going to get any money now or in the future.

To get any grants you have to find money allocated for a goal that is just like yours, and then convince the manager of that money that you are going to achieve their goals with the money you want them to give you. Then after you have done everything that you promised to do, you must be able to show them that you were a good steward of their money and that you were able to achieve the goals that you said you would do for them.

See, the thing about grants is that the business is no longer about your goals. It becomes all about the goals of whomever is paying the bills. You may want to do X, but your benefactor may want you to do Q, and you are now in the position that you have to go along or not get the money you are asking for.

So if I want money to start my farm, how can I get it?

It’s actually quite easy. You just have to understand your numbers. Oh, and there will be a cost in some form.

Debt Financing

Bank financing is actually quite favorable now. If you have a good enough business plan that you know your project will make money, this is a really good place to go right now. I wouldn’t go to your local branch and talk to a loan officer though. Chances are that they know nothing about the type ok loan that you want. You also don’t want to deal with the SBA loan system. Instead, you need to look at farm financing.

The USDA, Farm Aid, Farm Bureau, and other organizations have a bunch of programs that will finance your farm at stellar terms. I saw an operation financed a few months ago at rates less than 3% and with repayment terms so flexible that a couple of bad harvests can still be oversome to keep you on your farm. These folks are literally bending over backwards to help beginning farmers and ranchers. Much of this is because of new provisions and goals set out in the 2014 Farm Bill that congress passed.

NRCS Grants

I know I said grants weren’t a thing, but there are actually several grant programs that can help farmers. Most of them run through the NRCS, (Natural Resources Conservation Service) which is the modern Soil Conservation Corps. I know of farmers that have been given money for irrigation systems, hoop-houses, fencing, drainage improvement, cover crop planting, and range management assistance. That’s just in my local area.

Remember with money like this, that they are giving it out based on the idea that you are helping them achieve their goals, but it is available to almost any landowner. If you aren’t a landowner yet, perhaps you can work with the person that owns your farmland and get them to help with this process. Just make sure that your goals meet theirs. One other thing about NRCS grants is that they almost always pay for projects that you have already completed, so you have to fork out the money on the front end. If you can’t afford it on the front end, it’s almost impossible to get their help.

Equity Investors

Investors right now are looking for profitable farming assets. If your business has either great assets, or great money-making potential, there is a lot of investor money looking for something to do. Returns in the financial markets are so lousy right now that investors are looking outside their normal pastures for good returns. In addition farmland has been a consistent store of value for centuries and there is a lot of fear of either inflation or deflation. Because of that fear investors are looking for things to invest in that will do well in either situation. Profitable farms fit the bill perfectly, and so investors have been purchasing them at record rates the last few years.

Once again, you have to know your numbers and you have to be able to run a great business. Investors hate to lose money and they are looking at farms as a safe store of value, not as something that they are going to generate outsized returns with. This means that they are looking for something safe, profitable, and hands off. You will have to convince them that their money is safe, and that it will generate a return for them. This is doable, but you have to know your stuff.

Pooling resources

One of the other considerations that I have seen work out is co-op’s. Sometimes groups of people will pool their resources to buy a farm, which they then will work together or split up so that they can all have a better place. In situations where your wish to farm is more about lifestyle than profit, this may be a good option.

Be careful with this idea though because if you go in on a large farm with 20 other people, they will be your neighbors. Their kids will interact with your kids, and your kids may even marry their kids. Many of them will hang on a long time, and these will be the crazy old people who you hang out with as you retire. So pick your friends well, as you could be stuck with them for a long time.

So, that’s four different ways to get money for your farm that do not involve a non-profit entity. There are a lot of options out there, and one of them should work in some way. Perhaps joining a few ideas together can make them better. If you have other ideas, let me know! I would love to hear what is working for the rest of the people out there.

Until next time, Hang in there! You can do this!

Keeping the cops from stomping on your garden

I often see reports about police and city enforcers taking legal actions against people for growing their own food. It seems like the war on drugs and the war on poverty in the US has transformed into a war on common sense and a war on working people.

In considering whether to grow your own food, this is a concern that you should think about. It sucks, but that is the way the world works now. You need to consider whether your effort to feed your family will cause resistance from local government officials.

Hydroponic and aquaponic growers have it even worse than backyard gardeners. For some reason, many police departments have gotten it into their heads that the only people who use hydroponics are pot growers. If you buy grow lights and timers at the local garden supply, or hydroponic store, you can bet that the local constabulary is getting informed about it.

Fortunately there is a really simple solution.

When word got around the neighborhood that I was building a large greenhouse to grow plants as a source of income, I got all sorts of interesting queries. Fortunately I live in a small town, so I know most of the cops. They had some big concerns, and I know that they were thinking I was getting into growing marijuana. I’m not, and won’t unless it becomes fully legal here.

To mitigate any future issues I invited several of the local police, fire, and emergency services folks over for a barbecue, with pie. I told them that I was doing it as a thank you for the work that they do.

This accomplished several things.
1. It established my family as friendly to law enforcement and emergency services.
2. We made some very good friends at that get together.
3. They asked what I was building and why, giving me a chance to tell everyone about my plans and some of the cool stuff about aquaponics.
4. I got to show many of them around without it being confrontational. I would way rather show a police officer around my greenhouse when I invited them over and I just fed them instead of them knocking on my door wanting to ask questions related to an investigation. The result of them seeing your operation is the same, but without the confrontation and drama.
5. In addition, it establishes you as a person that they can just come talk to if there is a problem instead of them coming with a warrant because of a complaint.
6. They can then understand both who you are and what you are doing without negative consequences. Knowing people creates friendships and understanding. When there are friendships, the likelihood of confrontation goes down dramatically.

Even if you are in a community where the numbers of officers in the police department and code enforcement are really high, reaching out to them is a huge benefit to you.

My first greenhouse I built was 84 feet long, 32 feet wide, and 11 feet tall.

The first greenhouse at Terrapeutic Farm in January 2013
The first greenhouse at Terrapeutic Farm in January 2013

I suspected that the city officials might have an issue with what we wanted to build. So before starting construction, I met with the city manager, mayor and the building inspector. I explained what we wanted to do, how I felt that the code and zoning applied, and how I felt that my project would benefit the community at large. They had all sorts of questions, and a few good concerns about design issues. I agreed that I needed to change a few things, and I did. They however agreed that I did not need any permits, conditional use variances, or inspections from the city. I was then able to move forward unimpeded.

I talked to the planning commission later about what we were doing, and a couple of the planning commission board members were upset about the project. They wanted us to stop immediately. Because I had already gotten the go ahead from their boss though, it was a non issue and kept right on going.

To keep police and code enforcement out of your project,start by going to them before you start. Try to get approval first or make friends with the decision makers in your community.

The most valuable asset anybody has is their network of friends and associates. If you can figure out who could make your project go bad, you can make friends with them before any problems happen.  That way you have a lot better chance of working on your project without being shut down.

Until next time, hang in there! You can do this!

Technology will win the war on hunger

This year has seen a lot of the usual drama plastered all over the news. Civil unrest has cropped up in the various corners of Europe and Asia with even the old stalwarts like Hong Kong getting involved. The Police state in the US ebbs and flows around us. The Ebola outbreak in Africa got pretty nasty, and is still not contained. Then the usual media hype and pomp surrounding the mid term US elections got a lot of people riled up. It seems like a never ending onslaught of drama, bad news, and media storied about stuff that I want nothing to so with.

I want some good news. I want to hear that things are getting better.

If I turn to sources that I trust to keep me informed, sure enough, things are getting a lot better on a lot of fronts right now.

Scientists and entrepreneurs are hard at work making things that are bringing the world closer together. They are healing life threatening diseases, making toys and tools to make our lives easier, and generally making stuff better all around. We now know more about the human body, the world we live in, and the universe around us than we have ever known as humans.

This is awesome.

Since I was quite young I have seen the need to live in a self sustaining manner. I wanted to have a farm in the country and grow enough of my own food to take care of my family if there were ever any shocks to the food distribution systems. I also love the feeling of freedom that comes from not being beholden to someone else for my life and livelihood.. For many years however that dream eluded me.

Have you priced farms lately? It seems like unless you inherit the family farm or made millions in the tech bubble, there is no real good way to get into agriculture. The idea of carrying a multi million dollar mortgage doesn’t really appeal to me. Its the wrong direction of thought from being free. Since this was basically a pipe dream for most of my adult life, I put it aside and worked on building my businesses in such a way that I could take care of my family and hopefully find a way to get back to the land later in life.

About two years ago this all changed. I got my farm.

I didn’t do it by saving up the money, or by inheriting a farm. I did it by changing my idea of what a farm is and what a farm does. My farm now is a half acre in southern Utah, with another half acre next door that the neighbor lets me use.

Using new aquaponic technology, greenhouses, and a lot of sophisticated automation technology, we can do as much on this little plot of ground as many farmers can do with a lot more. See what I mean about technology making the world better?

Most of the technology that we are using didn’t exist five years ago. Much of the automation technology didn’t exist a year ago. Some of it we had to build from scratch and develop both hardware and programs for. One of my favorite parts of this is hooking up a new system, turning it on, and it actually working the way that I engineered it. That never ceases to amaze me.

We have certainly had our setbacks. Our main greenhouse was built and then destroyed last year. I am working on getting it back up right now. My goal is to have it fully operational again before the 1st of the year. Our crops this year were enough for us, but not enough to sell at market yet. Since this is just as much an educational process as an economic venture, that’s okay.

I get a lot of people asking me why I would go through all the work, expense, sleepless nights and sore muscles to build something like this. At current market prices the economics of small farms is barely profitable. Mine has been a money pit since I started.

To understand this, we have to look at some global trends.

Right now there are just over 7 billion people on earth. This is up from 6 billion just a few years ago. By 2050, even the conservative estimates put the population at over 9.5 billion. High estimates could be as high as 11 Billion. If Ebola wipes out significant swaths of the population in the next few years, it will still be somewhere around 8.7 billion.

To add to that, the total farmland available globally is shrinking at a rapid rate. Between desertification, and urbanization, it is estimated that the world looses about 100 million acres of cropland each year. Add to that number croplands that are forced to lie fallow due to regional drought, wars, lack of seed, fertilizer or equipment, and the numbers get pretty scary in a hurry.

What all that means is that the number of acres of farmland per person is going down at a rapid rate. In 1900 there was approximately 32 acres of farmland per person in the world. With advances in farming technology that was pushed down to about 12 by the late 1960’s. That number held fairly steady for a few decades as new farmlands were brought into production and crop technology has increased. Over the last 20 years however we have seen that drop to almost 7 acres per person. By mid century, that number is estimated to be around 4 acres per person. Some estimates are higher, others lower. But overall this is a crisis in the making.

All this looks at is global macro trends. This is not a look at things like wars, disease, famine, increases in shipping costs, or political tensions. This is just looking at best and worst case numbers of population vs croplands. Once you start to look at stuff like water availability, GMO issues and politics, things can start to look pretty scary. But all those things do is put additional pressure on the agriculture picture, not less.

Economics 101 – when supply decreases, but demand stays the same, prices increase. When supply is constant and demand increases, prices rise. When demand rises as supply decreases, prices rise significantly. This is a classic case of both declining supply and increasing demand happening at the same time.

Some of the worlds best and richest investors are quietly buying up all the available farmland and water supplies around the world in anticipation of this trend. I believe that the next group of billionaires the economy creates will be in agriculture. This is a huge trend, and getting in front of it could be the smartest thing that anybody does in their lives.

I have friends that have decided to leave the political and economic chaos of the US and have gone to South America to buy up farms and ranches there. If you are in a position to do so, let me know. We could do something together perhaps. For right now however what I can do is build out every available square foot I have into a high capacity automated aquaponic farm.

If you are interested in getting in front of these huge trends, lets talk. There are a lot of things that you can do to build out your own food security systems, or to leverage your skills and resources into a business. Whatever your abilities, there are ways to both prepare for, and profit from the coming crisis.

All things considered, life is getting a lot better in a lot of places and in a lot of ways. We just need to get on the right side of this technological advance in order to profit.